Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.049030 0.057268 0.066443 0.077415 0.090182 0.104566 0.122008
2025-10-05 0.036718 0.047609 0.061028 0.078768 0.101607 0.130027 0.168107
2025-10-12 0.029230 0.041058 0.056801 0.079271 0.110522 0.152466 0.213102
2025-10-19 0.024176 0.036271 0.053424 0.079497 0.118129 0.173293 0.258158
2025-10-26 0.020792 0.033019 0.051338 0.080737 0.126742 0.196027 0.308476
2025-11-02 0.018480 0.030876 0.050375 0.083221 0.137175 0.222372 0.367375
2025-11-09 0.015600 0.027306 0.046565 0.080476 0.138713 0.234743 0.405447
2025-11-16 0.013717 0.025063 0.044519 0.080206 0.144056 0.253624 0.456343
2025-11-23 0.012079 0.022978 0.042402 0.079421 0.148240 0.270815 0.506230
2025-11-30 0.011031 0.021793 0.041681 0.080967 0.156671 0.296291 0.573981
2025-12-07 0.009827 0.020127 0.039830 0.080107 0.160416 0.313526 0.628344
2025-12-14 0.008639 0.018315 0.037448 0.077860 0.161117 0.324957 0.672717
2025-12-21 0.007559 0.016588 0.035041 0.075311 0.161025 0.335115 0.716521
2025-12-28 0.007028 0.015944 0.034754 0.077111 0.170132 0.364883 0.804712
2026-01-04 0.006451 0.015113 0.033956 0.077698 0.176714 0.390176 0.886624
2026-01-11 0.005913 0.014290 0.033063 0.077938 0.182532 0.414484 0.969427
2026-01-18 0.005506 0.013710 0.032631 0.079158 0.190696 0.444871 1.069779
2026-01-25 0.005219 0.013377 0.032718 0.081594 0.201986 0.483623 1.194462
2026-02-01 0.004645 0.012252 0.030785 0.078902 0.200649 0.492930 1.250018
2026-02-08 0.004274 0.011587 0.029884 0.078638 0.205225 0.516803 1.344278
2026-02-15 0.003914 0.010902 0.028840 0.077868 0.208416 0.537653 1.433563
2026-02-22 0.003701 0.010580 0.028683 0.079384 0.217710 0.574821 1.569609
2026-03-01 0.003399 0.009971 0.027692 0.078541 0.220631 0.596027 1.666184